Yesterday I posted my watch list with a note that I was risking only .25%. That post led to the following question:
The market environment has not been friendly to swing trading lately. This choppy action started in late November and it has continued. When the overall market is going sideways set-ups tend to break out intraday only to fade before the close or early in the next trading day. Winning trades become much harder to come by and when they do come in, they are much smaller.
I’m not sure who created the below cheat sheet but it is worth sharing. If you spend some time studying it, these patterns will begin to jump out at you when you are looking for stocks to add to your watch list.
Since proper risk management can be the difference between a profitable trader and one who goes bust, knowing the area in which to set your stop is critically important and this cheat sheet does a great job of identifying stop areas for you.
One of my favorite trading books is Trend Following by Michael Covel. In that book Covel describes a hand written note hanging on the wall behind the desk of legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones. The note read, “Losers Average Losers.”
The note was a reminder to Jones not to add to a losing position. I have come to embrace this philosophy as my experience with averaging down has rarely led to profit and almost always had negative impacts on opportunity cost. I have found that when a trade goes against me, the best thing to do is to sell it for a small loss and move on to another idea. Adding to positions that are in a downtrend turn small losses into large losses. With trading, keeping the losses small is key to Risk Management and leads to survival and profitability.
I’ve come to learn that stock trading is all about process. That is: you must have a process, you must stick to your process, and, most importantly, you must have a passion for your process. If you view trading as a continuous process, it becomes much easier to recognize what the market is telling you.
Best selling stock market books with titles like Beating the Street imply that the stock market is a game to be won. But what they don’t tell you is this: your lifelong understanding of games prevents you from intuitively understanding the stock market. Continue reading “Stock Trading 101: It’s All About the Process”
Ubiquiti Networks $UBNT reported earnings on May 5th beating analysts estimates on both the top and bottom line. The stock appears to be consolidating again after the initial earnings report gap-up and looks like an interesting swing trade candidate. This stock has a very small 25 million share float of which 36% is sold short. Below is the short interest data via shortsqueeze.com:
During the trading day on Friday, May 6, trader @wallstjesus reported some bullish “at market” weekly call activity in $HIMX – you can find the report here. Intraday on Friday $HIMX broke established support at $9.95 only to rally into the close with a huge 889,000 share volume spike that regained that critical support level. These events on Friday, combined with recent consolidation in share price caused me to flag $HIMX on the Facebook page before the open today as a stock that was showing some signs of a breakout trade.
The trade triggered today and was confirmed by a 61.5% increase in volume – 4,429,319 shares of $HIMX exchanged hands today vs. 2,741,460 on an average trading day. The stock gained as much as 6.42% on the day before ending the session up 2.72%. It should be noted that $HIMX reports earnings before the open on Thursday, May 12.